Anthropic
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Choose your band
Pays most at your chosen value, fading to $0 at each edge.
Valuation (USD)
—chance of an exit
by settlement.
Read from market prices, not a forecast. How this number is worked out
Market details
implied value, recent readings- Priced in
- —
- Backing
- Worst case fully funded on-chain before trading opened
- Your cap
- —
Your portfolio
Total balance — USDC
What this market is
A market on what Anthropic is worth on the day it exits. You pick the band of values you believe in, and get paid by how close the real number lands.
How a position pays
A share pays most at the value you chose and fades to $0 at each edge of your band. Outside the band it pays nothing.
What backs the payout
The vault escrows every payout dollar before it can be owed, so nothing you hold can be closed out from under you. This is a capped beta with no outside audit yet, so deposit caps and a pause switch stand in for one.
How the final number is decided
Public exit documents decide the value, never the trading price. Deadline —.
The posted value can be challenged before it is final, and payouts stay open forever.
- If Anthropic goes public
- The average of the first three trading weeks, skipping day one and the wildest days.
- If Anthropic is acquired
- The price the buyer actually paid, taken from the deal's official filings. Never verifiable in public documents means it settles at $0.
- If neither happens by the deadline
- It settles at $0.