Anthropic Pre-IPO
Demo · simulated prices
Market status
Loading market…
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LONG says yes. SHORT says no.
What one share pays
| If the market's number moves to | A share is worth | Your return |
|---|
Pick your range
Pays $1 at your middle dot, $0 at the edges.
Band width
Valuation (USD)
Settled. Final settlement value
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Risk —Up to —
Market details
- Market's guess
- · — chance it exits
- Odds split
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- Step size
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- Payouts
- Fully funded
- Your cap
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Your portfolio
Total balance — USDC
No positions yet. Pick LONG or SHORT and place a trade.
What this market is
A market on what Anthropic is worth on the day it exits. You pick the band of values you believe in, and get paid by how close the real number lands.
How a position pays
A share pays most at the value you chose and fades to $0 at each edge of your band. Outside the band it pays nothing.
What backs the payout
Every dollar the market could owe is already locked up in USDC. Nothing can be closed out from under you. Unaudited beta, so deposits are capped.
How the final number is decided
You can dispute the number before it's final. Payouts stay open for 180 days after that.
- If Anthropic goes public
- Must list by the deadline. We average its first 3 weeks of trading, skipping day one and the craziest days.
- If Anthropic is acquired
- Deal must close by the deadline. We use the price the buyer paid, from the official filings. If it's never made public, it settles at $0.
- If neither happens by the deadline
- It settles at $0.